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If this statistical value is not available in the historic data at hand, backtesting is impossible. The so called Kelly criterion was worked out more than half a century ago and it does not lose its popularity now. For all who starts to investigate deeply the sport betting strategies and betting it is necessary to get acquainted with the general tendencies of this method.
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For example, the favourite for a race might have odds of 6.00 the day before, but on the day of the race, lots more people wager on him, so the bookmakers reduce their odds to 5.00. The reverse could also happen, though, and the odds could increase from 6.00 to 7.00.
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